← GAMERSSHOP STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
Horse and TaxesTier 2
at GAMERSSHOP STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
decks
1
(3.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
4-1-0
overall winrate
80.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
66.8%
avg ELO +9.7 per match
expected value
55.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1445
· median 1445
· range 1445–1445
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1217
Q3 1440
1642
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.6% | -7.0 |
| Water Genbu | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Alice | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Horse and Taxes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
